Eredivisie · Matchday Regular Season - 4Played

Zwolle – Nijmegen prediction

Zwolle1 – 3Nijmegen

Kick-off August 29, 2026 at 9:00 PMAt Mac3Park Stadion

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
74%
Fair price
1.35
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.90

Recorded on August 27, 2026 at 9:01 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Zwolle
1W · 1D · 3L
WLLLD
4/15
Points taken
1.20
Goals scored
2.80
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHGo Ahead Ea…4 – 1
  2. LDefeatHCambuur0 – 1
  3. LDefeatAGroningen0 – 3
  4. LDefeatHFeyenoord0 – 7
  5. DDrawASparta Rott…2 – 2
Nijmegen
0W · 3D · 2L
DDLDL
3/15
Points taken
1.00
Goals scored
2.00
Goals conceded
  1. DDrawAAjax1 – 1
  2. DDrawHGo Ahead Ea…1 – 1
  3. LDefeatACambuur0 – 3
  4. DDrawHExcelsior2 – 2
  5. LDefeatHFeyenoord1 – 3

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Eredivisie

0
Zwolle wins
1
Draws
4
Nijmegen wins
2.6
Goals per match
60 %
Over 2.5
  1. Aug 29, 26Eredivisie
    Zwolle1 – 3Nijmegen
  2. Jan 24, 26Eredivisie
    Nijmegen2 – 1Zwolle
  3. Oct 25, 25Eredivisie
    Zwolle2 – 2Nijmegen
  4. Jan 11, 25Eredivisie
    Zwolle0 – 1Nijmegen
  5. Aug 24, 24Eredivisie
    Nijmegen1 – 0Zwolle

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