Championship · Matchday Regular Season - 8Played

Wrexham – Southampton prediction

Wrexham2 – 1Southampton

Kick-off September 19, 2026 at 4:00 PMAt Racecourse Ground

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
81%
Fair price
1.24
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.66

Recorded on September 17, 2026 at 4:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Wrexham
2W · 1D · 2L
WLDWL
7/15
Points taken
1.60
Goals scored
2.20
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHPreston NE4 – 1
  2. LDefeatHWest Brom1 – 2
  3. DDrawADerby1 – 1
  4. WWinHSouthampton2 – 1
  5. LDefeatAWest Ham0 – 6
Southampton
3W · 1D · 1L
DWWLW
10/15
Points taken
1.40
Goals scored
0.60
Goals conceded
  1. DDrawHBolton0 – 0
  2. WWinANorwich1 – 0
  3. WWinHPortsmouth1 – 0
  4. LDefeatAWrexham1 – 2
  5. WWinHBristol City4 – 1

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Championship

1
Wrexham wins
0
Draws
2
Southampton wins
4.0
Goals per match
100 %
Over 2.5
  1. Sep 19, 26Championship
    Wrexham2 – 1Southampton
  2. Apr 7, 26Championship
    Wrexham1 – 5Southampton
  3. Aug 9, 25Championship
    Southampton2 – 1Wrexham

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