Championship · Matchday Regular Season - 9Played

West Brom – Birmingham prediction

West Brom0 – 1Birmingham

Kick-off October 10, 2026 at 1:30 PMAt The Hawthorns

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
78%
Fair price
1.28
Expected goals
1.31 – 0.90

Recorded on October 8, 2026 at 2:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

West Brom
2W · 1D · 2L
WLLDW
7/15
Points taken
0.80
Goals scored
0.80
Goals conceded
  1. WWinAWrexham2 – 1
  2. LDefeatHBirmingham0 – 1
  3. LDefeatAWolves0 – 1
  4. DDrawHQPR1 – 1
  5. WWinADerby1 – 0
Birmingham
3W · 1D · 1L
WWDWL
10/15
Points taken
2.00
Goals scored
1.00
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHPreston4 – 0
  2. WWinAWest Brom1 – 0
  3. DDrawHMiddlesbrou…2 – 2
  4. WWinADerby2 – 1
  5. LDefeatANorwich1 – 2

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Championship

0
West Brom wins
2
Draws
1
Birmingham wins
1.0
Goals per match
0 %
Over 2.5
  1. Oct 10, 26Championship
    West Brom0 – 1Birmingham
  2. Feb 10, 26Championship
    Birmingham0 – 0West Brom
  3. Nov 26, 25Championship
    West Brom1 – 1Birmingham

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