UEFA Conference League · Matchday League Stage - 1Played

Twente – Thun prediction

Twente1 – 0Thun

Kick-off October 15, 2026 at 9:00 PMAt De Grolsch Veste

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
80%
Fair price
1.25
Expected goals
2.24 – 1.03

Recorded on October 13, 2026 at 9:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Twente
3W · 1D · 1L
LDWWW
10/15
Points taken
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHUtrecht1 – 2
  2. DDrawAFor Sittard1 – 1
  3. WWinHPSV Eindhov…3 – 2
  4. WWinHDen Haag2 – 0
  5. WWinHTelstar1 – 0
Thun
1W · 0D · 4L
LWLLL
3/15
Points taken
1.60
Goals scored
2.60
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatAZurich2 – 4
  2. WWinAVaduz2 – 1
  3. LDefeatHServette2 – 4
  4. LDefeatHGrasshoppers0 – 1
  5. LDefeatASion2 – 3

Head-to-head

0 meetings ·

0
Twente wins
0
Draws
0
Thun wins
0.0
Goals per match
0 %
Over 2.5

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