Eredivisie · Matchday Regular Season - 7Played

Twente – PSV Eindhoven prediction

Kick-off September 20, 2026 at 2:30 PMAt De Grolsch Veste

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
82%
Fair price
1.22
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.54

Recorded on September 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Twente
3W · 1D · 1L
LDWWW
10/15
Points taken
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHUtrecht1 – 2
  2. DDrawAFor Sittard1 – 1
  3. WWinHPSV Eindhov…3 – 2
  4. WWinHDen Haag2 – 0
  5. WWinHTelstar1 – 0
PSV Eindhoven
4W · 0D · 1L
WLWWW
12/15
Points taken
3.40
Goals scored
1.20
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHHeerenveen2 – 0
  2. LDefeatATwente2 – 3
  3. WWinHSparta Rott…4 – 1
  4. WWinAAjax3 – 1
  5. WWinAUtrecht6 – 1

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Eredivisie

1
Twente wins
0
Draws
4
PSV Eindhov… wins
4.8
Goals per match
80 %
Over 2.5
  1. Sep 20, 26Eredivisie
    Twente3 – 2PSV Eindhov…
  2. May 17, 26Eredivisie
    PSV Eindhov…5 – 1Twente
  3. Aug 17, 25Eredivisie
    Twente0 – 2PSV Eindhov…
  4. Apr 24, 25Eredivisie
    Twente1 – 3PSV Eindhov…
  5. Dec 6, 24Eredivisie
    PSV Eindhov…6 – 1Twente

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