EFL Cup · Matchday Round of 32Played

Sunderland – Hull prediction

Sunderland1 – 0Hull

Kick-off September 8, 2026 at 8:45 PMAt Stadium of Light

The model's call

The call is for subscribers

The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
80%
Fair price
1.25
Expected goals
1.23 – 0.84

Recorded on September 6, 2026 at 9:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

See how this call ended
Subscribe to get the calls before the matchSee the plansAlready subscribed? Open it in the app

What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Sunderland
0W · 1D · 4L
LLLLD
1/15
Points taken
0.80
Goals scored
2.40
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatABournemouth0 – 2
  2. LDefeatHBrighton0 – 2
  3. LDefeatAMan City3 – 5
  4. LDefeatHArsenal0 – 2
  5. DDrawABrentford1 – 1
Hull
0W · 3D · 2L
LDLDD
3/15
Points taken
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatAFulham0 – 1
  2. DDrawHEverton2 – 2
  3. LDefeatANewcastle1 – 2
  4. DDrawAChelsea2 – 2
  5. DDrawHAston Villa0 – 0

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Championship

1
Sunderland wins
0
Draws
1
Hull wins
1.0
Goals per match
0 %
Over 2.5
  1. Feb 22, 25Championship
    Sunderland0 – 1Hull
  2. Oct 20, 24Championship
    Hull0 – 1Sunderland

Send this match to someone

The link opens this exact page: both teams’ form, their head-to-head record, and the model’s call once it is frozen.

How this model is kept, and checkable

1,711 calls have been settled so far. Every one of them was recorded before its kick-off and its verdict written after the whistle, wins and losses alike — nothing is taken down afterwards. The full record, match by match, is public.

See the full record

Next up in EFL Cup

See every upcoming match

This match already has a call waiting

An account is enough to see the days ahead; a subscription opens the call itself, on this match and on every other one.

Create an accountSee the plans