Scottish Premiership · Matchday Regular Season - 6Played

St Mirren – Celtic prediction

St Mirren1 – 2Celtic

Kick-off September 5, 2026 at 9:00 PMAt The SMISA Stadium

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
78%
Fair price
1.28
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.62

Recorded on September 3, 2026 at 9:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

St Mirren
1W · 0D · 4L
LLLLW
3/15
Points taken
0.40
Goals scored
2.20
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatAHearts0 – 5
  2. LDefeatHDundee Unit…0 – 3
  3. LDefeatARangers0 – 1
  4. LDefeatHCeltic1 – 2
  5. WWinAKilmarnock1 – 0
Celtic
4W · 0D · 1L
WLWWW
12/15
Points taken
1.60
Goals scored
0.40
Goals conceded
  1. WWinAMotherwell2 – 0
  2. LDefeatHRangers0 – 1
  3. WWinASt Johnstone1 – 0
  4. WWinASt Mirren2 – 1
  5. WWinHAberdeen3 – 0

Head-to-head

8 meetings · Scottish Premiership

0
St Mirren wins
1
Draws
7
Celtic wins
2.6
Goals per match
50 %
Over 2.5
  1. Sep 5, 26Scottish Premiership
    St Mirren1 – 2Celtic
  2. Apr 11, 26Scottish Premiership
    Celtic1 – 0St Mirren
  3. Nov 22, 25Scottish Premiership
    St Mirren0 – 1Celtic
  4. Aug 3, 25Scottish Premiership
    Celtic1 – 0St Mirren
  5. May 17, 25Scottish Premiership
    Celtic1 – 1St Mirren
  6. Mar 1, 25Scottish Premiership
    St Mirren2 – 5Celtic
  7. Jan 5, 25Scottish Premiership
    Celtic3 – 0St Mirren
  8. Aug 25, 24Scottish Premiership
    St Mirren0 – 3Celtic

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