Primeira Liga · Matchday Regular Season - 6Played

Sp Braga – Estoril prediction

Sp Braga1 – 0Estoril

Kick-off September 14, 2026 at 9:45 PMAt Estádio Municipal de Braga

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
78%
Fair price
1.29
Expected goals
1.66 – 0.98

Recorded on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Sp Braga
2W · 1D · 2L
LDWLW
7/15
Points taken
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHSp Lisbon1 – 3
  2. DDrawASanta Clara0 – 0
  3. WWinHEstoril1 – 0
  4. LDefeatAEstrela1 – 2
  5. WWinAAlverca2 – 1
Estoril
0W · 1D · 4L
LLLDL
1/15
Points taken
0.60
Goals scored
1.40
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatAAcademico V…1 – 2
  2. LDefeatHCasa Pia1 – 2
  3. LDefeatASp Braga0 – 1
  4. DDrawHArouca0 – 0
  5. LDefeatABenfica1 – 2

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Primeira Liga

2
Sp Braga wins
2
Draws
1
Estoril wins
2.0
Goals per match
20 %
Over 2.5
  1. Sep 14, 26Primeira Liga
    Sp Braga1 – 0Estoril
  2. May 3, 26Primeira Liga
    Sp Braga1 – 1Estoril
  3. Dec 19, 25Primeira Liga
    Estoril1 – 0Sp Braga
  4. Apr 19, 25Primeira Liga
    Estoril0 – 2Sp Braga
  5. Dec 6, 24Primeira Liga
    Sp Braga2 – 2Estoril

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