LaLiga · Matchday Regular Season - 3Played

Real Madrid – Malaga prediction

Real Madrid4 – 0Malaga

Kick-off August 30, 2026 at 5:00 PMAt Bernabéu

The model's call

The call is for subscribers

The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
80%
Fair price
1.25
Expected goals
2.27 – 1.11

Recorded on August 28, 2026 at 5:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Real Madrid
4W · 0D · 1L
WWWLW
12/15
Points taken
2.60
Goals scored
1.60
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHSevilla4 – 1
  2. WWinARoma4 – 3
  3. WWinHVillarreal1 – 0
  4. LDefeatAAth Madrid1 – 2
  5. WWinAElche3 – 2
Malaga
0W · 2D · 3L
LDLLD
2/15
Points taken
1.00
Goals scored
2.20
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHSociedad2 – 5
  2. DDrawHEspanol1 – 1
  3. LDefeatAGetafe0 – 1
  4. LDefeatHVillarreal1 – 3
  5. DDrawACelta1 – 1

Head-to-head

1 meeting · LaLiga

1
Real Madrid wins
0
Draws
0
Malaga wins
4.0
Goals per match
100 %
Over 2.5
  1. Aug 30, 26LaLiga
    Real Madrid4 – 0Malaga

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