Scottish Premiership · Matchday Regular Season - 8Played

Rangers – Kilmarnock prediction

Rangers3 – 1Kilmarnock

Kick-off October 10, 2026 at 4:00 PMAt Ibrox Stadium

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
79%
Fair price
1.26
Expected goals
2.65 – 1.07

Recorded on October 8, 2026 at 4:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Rangers
5W · 0D · 0L
WWWWW
15/15
Points taken
1.60
Goals scored
0.40
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHKilmarnock3 – 1
  2. WWinACeltic1 – 0
  3. WWinHSt Mirren1 – 0
  4. WWinHMotherwell1 – 0
  5. WWinAFalkirk2 – 1
Kilmarnock
1W · 2D · 2L
LDWDL
5/15
Points taken
0.60
Goals scored
1.00
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatARangers1 – 3
  2. DDrawHHearts1 – 1
  3. WWinAHibernian1 – 0
  4. DDrawAAberdeen0 – 0
  5. LDefeatHSt Mirren0 – 1

Head-to-head

7 meetings · Scottish Premiership

6
Rangers wins
0
Draws
1
Kilmarnock wins
4.3
Goals per match
86 %
Over 2.5
  1. Oct 10, 26Scottish Premiership
    Rangers3 – 1Kilmarnock
  2. Feb 4, 26Scottish Premiership
    Rangers5 – 1Kilmarnock
  3. Dec 6, 25Scottish Premiership
    Kilmarnock0 – 3Rangers
  4. Oct 26, 25Scottish Premiership
    Rangers3 – 1Kilmarnock
  5. Feb 26, 25Scottish Premiership
    Kilmarnock2 – 4Rangers
  6. Dec 4, 24Scottish Premiership
    Rangers6 – 0Kilmarnock
  7. Oct 20, 24Scottish Premiership
    Kilmarnock1 – 0Rangers

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