EFL Cup · Matchday Round of 32Played

Peterboro – Barnsley prediction

Peterboro3 – 3Barnsley

Kick-off September 15, 2026 at 8:30 PMAt Weston Homes Stadium

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
78%
Fair price
1.29
Expected goals
1.99 – 1.69

Recorded on September 13, 2026 at 9:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Peterboro
1W · 1D · 3L
WLLDL
4/15
Points taken
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
Goals conceded
  1. WWinALeicester3 – 1
  2. LDefeatAStockport0 – 1
  3. LDefeatHDoncaster0 – 2
  4. DDrawAMilton Keyn…1 – 1
  5. LDefeatHSheffield W…1 – 2
Barnsley
1W · 1D · 3L
LDLLW
4/15
Points taken
1.00
Goals scored
2.60
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatAStockport1 – 3
  2. DDrawHLeicester1 – 1
  3. LDefeatAPlymouth0 – 3
  4. LDefeatHStevenage1 – 5
  5. WWinHBlackpool2 – 1

Head-to-head

4 meetings · League One

0
Peterboro wins
1
Draws
3
Barnsley wins
2.5
Goals per match
50 %
Over 2.5
  1. Feb 17, 26League One
    Barnsley2 – 1Peterboro
  2. Aug 19, 25League One
    Peterboro0 – 1Barnsley
  3. Apr 21, 25League One
    Barnsley1 – 1Peterboro
  4. Dec 29, 24League One
    Peterboro1 – 3Barnsley

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