League Two · Matchday Regular Season - 8Played

Newport County – Grimsby prediction

Newport County2 – 1Grimsby

Kick-off September 26, 2026 at 4:00 PMAt Rodney Parade

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
78%
Fair price
1.29
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.23

Recorded on September 24, 2026 at 4:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Newport County
2W · 3D · 0L
WDWDD
9/15
Points taken
0.80
Goals scored
0.40
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHColchester1 – 0
  2. DDrawAGillingham0 – 0
  3. WWinHGrimsby2 – 1
  4. DDrawAAccrington0 – 0
  5. DDrawHFleetwood T…1 – 1
Grimsby
2W · 0D · 3L
LLLWW
6/15
Points taken
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatAPort Vale0 – 1
  2. LDefeatHShrewsbury1 – 2
  3. LDefeatANewport Cou…1 – 2
  4. WWinHCrawley Town2 – 0
  5. WWinHBristol Rvs2 – 0

Head-to-head

5 meetings · League Two

1
Newport Cou… wins
2
Draws
2
Grimsby wins
1.4
Goals per match
40 %
Over 2.5
  1. Sep 26, 26League Two
    Newport Cou…2 – 1Grimsby
  2. Feb 7, 26League Two
    Newport Cou…0 – 0Grimsby
  3. Aug 16, 25League Two
    Grimsby2 – 1Newport Cou…
  4. Mar 22, 25League Two
    Grimsby1 – 0Newport Cou…
  5. Nov 16, 24League Two
    Newport Cou…0 – 0Grimsby

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