Scottish Championship · Matchday Regular Season - 11

Morton – Queens Park prediction

Morton–Queens Park

Kick-off October 17, 2026 at 4:00 PMAt Cappielow Park

The model's call

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Everything it was built from is below, in full: the probability the model gives, what that probability is worth as a price, and the expected goals on each side. Only the market it committed to is withheld, because it is the one part still worth anything before kick-off.

Probability
77%
Fair price
1.29
Expected goals
1.29 – 0.95

Recorded on October 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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The full analysis of this match

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Morton
1W · 0D · 4L
WLLLL
3/15
Points taken
0.80
Goals scored
2.00
Goals conceded
  1. WWinAArbroath2 – 1
  2. LDefeatHRaith Rvs1 – 2
  3. LDefeatAInverness C0 – 2
  4. LDefeatHDunfermline0 – 1
  5. LDefeatHLivingston1 – 4
Queens Park
1W · 0D · 4L
WLLLL
3/15
Points taken
0.60
Goals scored
1.80
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHInverness C2 – 1
  2. LDefeatARaith Rvs0 – 2
  3. LDefeatAArbroath1 – 2
  4. LDefeatHAyr0 – 2
  5. LDefeatADunfermline0 – 2

Head-to-head

9 meetings · Scottish Championship

3
Morton wins
2
Draws
4
Queens Park wins
2.1
Goals per match
56 %
Over 2.5
  1. Sep 5, 26Scottish Championship
    Queens Park2 – 1Morton
  2. Apr 18, 26Scottish Championship
    Morton0 – 0Queens Park
  3. Feb 21, 26Scottish Championship
    Queens Park3 – 2Morton
  4. Dec 5, 25Scottish Championship
    Morton2 – 1Queens Park
  5. Sep 13, 25Scottish Championship
    Queens Park0 – 0Morton
  6. Mar 22, 25Scottish Championship
    Morton2 – 1Queens Park
  7. Jan 25, 25Scottish Championship
    Queens Park1 – 2Morton
  8. Oct 29, 24Scottish Championship
    Morton0 – 1Queens Park
  9. Sep 14, 24Scottish Championship
    Queens Park1 – 0Morton

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