Scottish Championship · Matchday Regular Season - 7Played

Morton – Dunfermline prediction

Morton0 – 1Dunfermline

Kick-off September 19, 2026 at 4:00 PMAt Cappielow Park

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
78%
Fair price
1.28
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.66

Recorded on September 17, 2026 at 4:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Morton
1W · 0D · 4L
WLLLL
3/15
Points taken
0.80
Goals scored
2.00
Goals conceded
  1. WWinAArbroath2 – 1
  2. LDefeatHRaith Rvs1 – 2
  3. LDefeatAInverness C0 – 2
  4. LDefeatHDunfermline0 – 1
  5. LDefeatHLivingston1 – 4
Dunfermline
3W · 2D · 0L
DWWDW
11/15
Points taken
1.20
Goals scored
0.40
Goals conceded
  1. DDrawAAyr1 – 1
  2. WWinAMorton1 – 0
  3. WWinHQueens Park2 – 0
  4. DDrawAArbroath1 – 1
  5. WWinHRaith Rvs1 – 0

Head-to-head

9 meetings · Scottish Championship

3
Morton wins
2
Draws
4
Dunfermline wins
1.7
Goals per match
22 %
Over 2.5
  1. Sep 19, 26Scottish Championship
    Morton0 – 1Dunfermline
  2. Apr 4, 26Scottish Championship
    Dunfermline3 – 1Morton
  3. Feb 17, 26Scottish Championship
    Morton2 – 0Dunfermline
  4. Nov 22, 25Scottish Championship
    Dunfermline1 – 0Morton
  5. Aug 2, 25Scottish Championship
    Morton0 – 0Dunfermline
  6. May 2, 25Scottish Championship
    Morton2 – 0Dunfermline
  7. Mar 1, 25Scottish Championship
    Dunfermline2 – 1Morton
  8. Dec 21, 24Scottish Championship
    Morton2 – 0Dunfermline
  9. Oct 19, 24Scottish Championship
    Dunfermline0 – 0Morton

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