Serie A · Matchday Journée 7Played

Milan – Atalanta prediction

Milan3 – 2Atalanta

Kick-off October 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM

The model's call

The call is for subscribers

Everything it was built from is below, in full: the probability the model gives, what that probability is worth as a price, and the expected goals on each side. Only the market it committed to is withheld, because it is the one part still worth anything before kick-off.

Probability
82%
Fair price
1.22
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.12

Recorded on October 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Milan
2W · 3D · 0L
WDWDD
9/15
Points taken
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHAtalanta3 – 2
  2. DDrawASassuolo1 – 1
  3. WWinHLecce3 – 0
  4. DDrawALazio2 – 2
  5. DDrawAJuventus1 – 1
Atalanta
1W · 0D · 4L
LWLLL
3/15
Points taken
1.40
Goals scored
2.00
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatAMilan2 – 3
  2. WWinHVenezia3 – 1
  3. LDefeatAJuventus0 – 2
  4. LDefeatHCagliari1 – 2
  5. LDefeatARoma1 – 2

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Serie A

1
Milan wins
1
Draws
3
Atalanta wins
3.2
Goals per match
60 %
Over 2.5
  1. Oct 18, 26Serie A
    Milan3 – 2Atalanta
  2. May 10, 26Serie A
    Milan2 – 3Atalanta
  3. Oct 28, 25Serie A
    Atalanta1 – 1Milan
  4. Apr 20, 25Serie A
    Milan0 – 1Atalanta
  5. Dec 6, 24Serie A
    Atalanta2 – 1Milan

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