Serie B · Matchday Regular Season - 2Played

Mantova – Empoli prediction

Mantova3 – 1Empoli

Kick-off August 30, 2026 at 7:00 PMAt Stadio Danilo Martelli

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
81%
Fair price
1.24
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.16

Recorded on August 28, 2026 at 7:01 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Mantova
3W · 2D · 0L
WDWDW
11/15
Points taken
2.20
Goals scored
1.00
Goals conceded
  1. WWinACatanzaro3 – 1
  2. DDrawHPisa2 – 2
  3. WWinHSampdoria2 – 0
  4. DDrawACesena1 – 1
  5. WWinHEmpoli3 – 1
Empoli
1W · 0D · 4L
LLLWL
3/15
Points taken
1.00
Goals scored
2.00
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHPalermo2 – 4
  2. LDefeatAModena1 – 2
  3. LDefeatHArezzo0 – 1
  4. WWinACarrarese1 – 0
  5. LDefeatAMantova1 – 3

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Serie B

1
Mantova wins
1
Draws
1
Empoli wins
3.0
Goals per match
67 %
Over 2.5
  1. Aug 30, 26Serie B
    Mantova3 – 1Empoli
  2. Mar 14, 26Serie B
    Empoli2 – 2Mantova
  3. Dec 21, 25Serie B
    Mantova0 – 1Empoli

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