Ligue 1 · Matchday Regular Season - 2Played

Lyon – Le Havre prediction

Lyon1 – 1Le Havre

Kick-off August 29, 2026 at 8:45 PMAt Parc Olympique Lyonnais

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
80%
Fair price
1.25
Expected goals
1.59 – 0.94

Recorded on August 27, 2026 at 9:01 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Lyon
3W · 1D · 1L
WLWDW
10/15
Points taken
2.00
Goals scored
0.80
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHNice2 – 1
  2. LDefeatALens1 – 2
  3. WWinHRennes4 – 0
  4. DDrawAParis FC0 – 0
  5. WWinHAuxerre3 – 1
Le Havre
0W · 1D · 4L
LLLDL
1/15
Points taken
0.80
Goals scored
1.80
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHAuxerre1 – 3
  2. LDefeatALille0 – 1
  3. LDefeatAToulouse2 – 3
  4. DDrawHAngers0 – 0
  5. LDefeatHBrest1 – 2

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Ligue 1

3
Lyon wins
2
Draws
0
Le Havre wins
2.6
Goals per match
40 %
Over 2.5
  1. Aug 29, 26Ligue 1
    Lyon1 – 1Le Havre
  2. Mar 15, 26Ligue 1
    Le Havre0 – 0Lyon
  3. Dec 14, 25Ligue 1
    Lyon1 – 0Le Havre
  4. Mar 16, 25Ligue 1
    Lyon4 – 2Le Havre
  5. Oct 20, 24Ligue 1
    Le Havre0 – 4Lyon

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