Swiss Super League · Matchday Regular Season - 10Played

Lugano – Luzern prediction

Lugano4 – 0Luzern

Kick-off October 10, 2026 at 6:00 PMAt Cornaredo

The model's call

The call is for subscribers

The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
82%
Fair price
1.22
Expected goals
1.99 – 0.94

Recorded on October 8, 2026 at 6:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

See how this call ended
Subscribe to get the calls before the matchSee the plansAlready subscribed? Open it in the app

What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Lugano
4W · 1D · 0L
WWWDW
13/15
Points taken
3.40
Goals scored
0.80
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHLuzern4 – 0
  2. WWinALausanne4 – 0
  3. WWinHSt. Gallen4 – 1
  4. DDrawHYoung Boys2 – 2
  5. WWinABasel3 – 1
Luzern
2W · 1D · 2L
LWLDW
7/15
Points taken
2.40
Goals scored
2.60
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatALugano0 – 4
  2. WWinHGrasshoppers5 – 1
  3. LDefeatHBasel2 – 4
  4. DDrawAYoung Boys3 – 3
  5. WWinHVaduz2 – 1

Head-to-head

8 meetings · Super League suisse

6
Lugano wins
0
Draws
2
Luzern wins
3.9
Goals per match
63 %
Over 2.5
  1. Oct 10, 26Super League suisse
    Lugano4 – 0Luzern
  2. Mar 7, 26Super League suisse
    Lugano1 – 3Luzern
  3. Jan 17, 26Super League suisse
    Luzern2 – 5Lugano
  4. Oct 30, 25Super League suisse
    Lugano2 – 0Luzern
  5. May 4, 25Super League suisse
    Luzern0 – 2Lugano
  6. Feb 15, 25Super League suisse
    Lugano2 – 0Luzern
  7. Dec 7, 24Super League suisse
    Luzern1 – 4Lugano
  8. Aug 11, 24Super League suisse
    Lugano2 – 3Luzern

Send this match to someone

The link opens this exact page: both teams’ form, their head-to-head record, and the model’s call once it is frozen.

How this model is kept, and checkable

1,711 calls have been settled so far. Every one of them was recorded before its kick-off and its verdict written after the whistle, wins and losses alike — nothing is taken down afterwards. The full record, match by match, is public.

See the full record

Next up in Swiss Super League

See every upcoming match

This match already has a call waiting

An account is enough to see the days ahead; a subscription opens the call itself, on this match and on every other one.

Create an accountSee the plans