Ligue 1 · Matchday Regular Season - 2Played

Lille – Paris SG prediction

Lille2 – 2Paris SG

Kick-off August 28, 2026 at 8:45 PMAt Stade Pierre-Mauroy

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
78%
Fair price
1.27
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.45

Recorded on August 27, 2026 at 3:00 AM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Lille
2W · 1D · 2L
DLWLW
7/15
Points taken
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
Goals conceded
  1. DDrawHBrest1 – 1
  2. LDefeatAArsenal0 – 3
  3. WWinHLe Havre1 – 0
  4. LDefeatANice1 – 2
  5. WWinHTroyes2 – 0
Paris SG
5W · 0D · 0L
WWWWW
15/15
Points taken
2.60
Goals scored
1.00
Goals conceded
  1. WWinAStrasbourg3 – 1
  2. WWinAMan City4 – 2
  3. WWinHLe Mans3 – 1
  4. WWinAMarseille2 – 1
  5. WWinABrest1 – 0

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Ligue 1

0
Lille wins
2
Draws
3
Paris SG wins
3.6
Goals per match
80 %
Over 2.5
  1. Aug 28, 26Ligue 1
    Lille2 – 2Paris SG
  2. Jan 16, 26Ligue 1
    Paris SG3 – 0Lille
  3. Oct 5, 25Ligue 1
    Lille1 – 1Paris SG
  4. Mar 1, 25Ligue 1
    Paris SG4 – 1Lille
  5. Sep 1, 24Ligue 1
    Lille1 – 3Paris SG

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