Swiss Super League · Matchday Regular Season - 9Played

Lausanne – Lugano prediction

Lausanne0 – 4Lugano

Kick-off September 20, 2026 at 4:30 PMAt Stade de la Tuiliere

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
80%
Fair price
1.25
Expected goals
0.86 – 1.32

Recorded on September 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Lausanne
0W · 1D · 4L
LLLLD
1/15
Points taken
0.20
Goals scored
1.80
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatASt. Gallen0 – 1
  2. LDefeatHLugano0 – 4
  3. LDefeatHServette0 – 1
  4. LDefeatAVaduz1 – 3
  5. DDrawAThun0 – 0
Lugano
4W · 1D · 0L
WWWDW
13/15
Points taken
3.40
Goals scored
0.80
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHLuzern4 – 0
  2. WWinALausanne4 – 0
  3. WWinHSt. Gallen4 – 1
  4. DDrawHYoung Boys2 – 2
  5. WWinABasel3 – 1

Head-to-head

8 meetings · Super League suisse

2
Lausanne wins
3
Draws
3
Lugano wins
2.6
Goals per match
50 %
Over 2.5
  1. Sep 20, 26Super League suisse
    Lausanne0 – 4Lugano
  2. Feb 22, 26Super League suisse
    Lugano2 – 1Lausanne
  3. Dec 7, 25Super League suisse
    Lausanne0 – 0Lugano
  4. Sep 17, 25Super League suisse
    Lugano1 – 1Lausanne
  5. May 18, 25Super League suisse
    Lausanne1 – 1Lugano
  6. Apr 21, 25Super League suisse
    Lausanne2 – 0Lugano
  7. Dec 15, 24Super League suisse
    Lugano1 – 4Lausanne
  8. Sep 18, 24Super League suisse
    Lausanne1 – 2Lugano

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