Premier Division · Matchday Regular Season - 32Played

Dundalk – Shelbourne prediction

Dundalk2 – 3Shelbourne

Kick-off September 18, 2026 at 8:45 PMAt Oriel Park

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
79%
Fair price
1.26
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.10

Recorded on September 17, 2026 at 7:00 AM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Dundalk
1W · 1D · 3L
LLLDW
4/15
Points taken
1.40
Goals scored
2.40
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHBohemians1 – 2
  2. LDefeatHShelbourne2 – 3
  3. LDefeatHSt. Patricks0 – 4
  4. DDrawAWaterford1 – 1
  5. WWinADrogheda3 – 2
Shelbourne
2W · 1D · 2L
WDWLL
7/15
Points taken
2.00
Goals scored
1.40
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHSligo Rovers5 – 1
  2. DDrawAGalway1 – 1
  3. WWinADundalk3 – 2
  4. LDefeatHDrogheda1 – 2
  5. LDefeatHDerry City0 – 1

Head-to-head

8 meetings · Premier Division irlandaise

1
Dundalk wins
1
Draws
6
Shelbourne wins
2.6
Goals per match
63 %
Over 2.5
  1. Sep 18, 26Premier Division irlandaise
    Dundalk2 – 3Shelbourne
  2. Jul 3, 26Premier Division irlandaise
    Shelbourne2 – 1Dundalk
  3. May 1, 26Premier Division irlandaise
    Dundalk1 – 2Shelbourne
  4. Apr 3, 26Premier Division irlandaise
    Shelbourne2 – 3Dundalk
  5. Aug 30, 24Premier Division irlandaise
    Dundalk0 – 1Shelbourne
  6. Jun 7, 24Premier Division irlandaise
    Shelbourne1 – 0Dundalk
  7. May 3, 24Premier Division irlandaise
    Dundalk0 – 0Shelbourne
  8. Mar 29, 24Premier Division irlandaise
    Shelbourne2 – 1Dundalk

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