2. Bundesliga · Matchday Regular Season - 8

Dresden – Magdeburg prediction

Dresden–Magdeburg

Kick-off October 18, 2026 at 1:30 PMAt Rudolf-Harbig Stadion

The model's call

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Everything it was built from is below, in full: the probability the model gives, what that probability is worth as a price, and the expected goals on each side. Only the market it committed to is withheld, because it is the one part still worth anything before kick-off.

Probability
81%
Fair price
1.23
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.52

Recorded on October 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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The full analysis of this match

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Dresden
0W · 2D · 3L
DLDLL
2/15
Points taken
1.60
Goals scored
2.40
Goals conceded
  1. DDrawAOsnabruck1 – 1
  2. LDefeatHHertha1 – 2
  3. DDrawABraunschweig2 – 2
  4. LDefeatHBochum1 – 2
  5. LDefeatAHeidenheim3 – 5
Magdeburg
3W · 1D · 1L
WDWLW
10/15
Points taken
2.00
Goals scored
0.60
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHHannover3 – 0
  2. DDrawAGreuther Fu…1 – 1
  3. WWinHKaiserslaut…3 – 0
  4. LDefeatAHertha1 – 2
  5. WWinHHolstein Ki…2 – 0

Head-to-head

2 meetings · 2. Bundesliga

1
Dresden wins
0
Draws
1
Magdeburg wins
3.0
Goals per match
100 %
Over 2.5
  1. Jan 24, 262. Bundesliga
    Magdeburg1 – 2Dresden
  2. Aug 9, 252. Bundesliga
    Dresden1 – 2Magdeburg

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