League Two · Matchday Regular Season - 9Played

Chesterfield – Tranmere prediction

Chesterfield4 – 2Tranmere

Kick-off October 3, 2026 at 1:30 PMAt Proact Stadium

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
80%
Fair price
1.25
Expected goals
1.99 – 0.81

Recorded on October 1, 2026 at 2:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Chesterfield
3W · 1D · 1L
DWLWW
10/15
Points taken
2.20
Goals scored
1.40
Goals conceded
  1. DDrawACrawley Town2 – 2
  2. WWinHTranmere4 – 2
  3. LDefeatACheltenham1 – 2
  4. WWinHYork2 – 0
  5. WWinAOldham2 – 1
Tranmere
0W · 3D · 2L
DLDDL
3/15
Points taken
0.80
Goals scored
1.60
Goals conceded
  1. DDrawHRochdale1 – 1
  2. LDefeatAChesterfield2 – 4
  3. DDrawHWalsall1 – 1
  4. DDrawAExeter0 – 0
  5. LDefeatAGillingham0 – 2

Head-to-head

5 meetings · League Two

2
Chesterfield wins
2
Draws
1
Tranmere wins
3.4
Goals per match
60 %
Over 2.5
  1. Oct 3, 26League Two
    Chesterfield4 – 2Tranmere
  2. Apr 11, 26League Two
    Chesterfield1 – 1Tranmere
  3. Oct 25, 25League Two
    Tranmere1 – 1Chesterfield
  4. Apr 5, 25League Two
    Tranmere4 – 0Chesterfield
  5. Dec 7, 24League Two
    Chesterfield3 – 0Tranmere

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