LaLiga · Matchday Regular Season - 3Played

Celta – Ath Bilbao prediction

Celta0 – 2Ath Bilbao

Kick-off August 30, 2026 at 9:30 PMAt Estadio Abanca Balaídos

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
81%
Fair price
1.23
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.07

Recorded on August 28, 2026 at 10:03 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Celta
2W · 3D · 0L
WDWDD
9/15
Points taken
1.80
Goals scored
0.60
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHAlaves2 – 1
  2. DDrawAElche0 – 0
  3. WWinHSantander5 – 0
  4. DDrawHMalaga1 – 1
  5. DDrawAGetafe1 – 1
Ath Bilbao
2W · 3D · 0L
DDDWW
9/15
Points taken
1.20
Goals scored
0.20
Goals conceded
  1. DDrawAValencia0 – 0
  2. DDrawHAlaves0 – 0
  3. DDrawHElche1 – 1
  4. WWinHAth Madrid3 – 0
  5. WWinACelta2 – 0

Head-to-head

5 meetings · LaLiga

1
Celta wins
1
Draws
3
Ath Bilbao wins
2.6
Goals per match
40 %
Over 2.5
  1. Aug 30, 26LaLiga
    Celta0 – 2Ath Bilbao
  2. May 17, 26LaLiga
    Ath Bilbao1 – 1Celta
  3. Dec 14, 25LaLiga
    Celta2 – 0Ath Bilbao
  4. Jan 19, 25LaLiga
    Celta1 – 2Ath Bilbao
  5. Sep 22, 24LaLiga
    Ath Bilbao3 – 1Celta

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