Championship · Matchday Regular Season - 10Played

Cardiff – Watford prediction

Cardiff5 – 1Watford

Kick-off October 13, 2026 at 8:45 PMAt Cardiff City Stadium

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
79%
Fair price
1.26
Expected goals
1.99 – 0.87

Recorded on October 11, 2026 at 9:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Cardiff
2W · 1D · 2L
WLWLD
7/15
Points taken
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHWatford5 – 1
  2. LDefeatABlackburn1 – 2
  3. WWinHCharlton3 – 1
  4. LDefeatABolton0 – 1
  5. DDrawHStoke1 – 1
Watford
1W · 0D · 4L
WLLLL
3/15
Points taken
0.80
Goals scored
2.40
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHCharlton2 – 0
  2. LDefeatACardiff1 – 5
  3. LDefeatHBurnley0 – 4
  4. LDefeatABristol City0 – 1
  5. LDefeatHStoke1 – 2

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Championship

2
Cardiff wins
1
Draws
0
Watford wins
3.7
Goals per match
67 %
Over 2.5
  1. Oct 13, 26Championship
    Cardiff5 – 1Watford
  2. Jan 14, 25Championship
    Cardiff1 – 1Watford
  3. Dec 29, 24Championship
    Watford1 – 2Cardiff

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