Championship · Matchday Regular Season - 3Played

Bolton – Lincoln prediction

Bolton0 – 1Lincoln

Kick-off August 29, 2026 at 4:00 PMAt Toughsheet Community Stadium

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
81%
Fair price
1.23
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.53

Recorded on August 27, 2026 at 4:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Bolton
3W · 0D · 2L
WLWWL
9/15
Points taken
2.20
Goals scored
1.80
Goals conceded
  1. WWinAWolves3 – 1
  2. LDefeatHStoke1 – 2
  3. WWinANorwich4 – 3
  4. WWinHCardiff1 – 0
  5. LDefeatHWest Ham2 – 3
Lincoln
2W · 0D · 3L
LLLWW
6/15
Points taken
0.60
Goals scored
2.20
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHWest Ham0 – 6
  2. LDefeatASheffield U…0 – 3
  3. LDefeatHSwansea1 – 2
  4. WWinABristol City1 – 0
  5. WWinAPreston1 – 0

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Championship

1
Bolton wins
2
Draws
2
Lincoln wins
2.8
Goals per match
40 %
Over 2.5
  1. Aug 29, 26Championship
    Bolton0 – 1Lincoln
  2. Feb 14, 26League One
    Lincoln1 – 1Bolton
  3. Aug 23, 25League One
    Bolton1 – 1Lincoln
  4. Apr 21, 25League One
    Lincoln4 – 2Bolton
  5. Dec 29, 24League One
    Bolton3 – 0Lincoln

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