Championship · Matchday Regular Season - 11Played

Birmingham – QPR prediction

Birmingham3 – 0QPR

Kick-off October 17, 2026 at 4:00 PMAt St. Andrew's Stadium

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
82%
Fair price
1.23
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.19

Recorded on October 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Birmingham
3W · 1D · 1L
WWDWL
10/15
Points taken
2.00
Goals scored
1.00
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHPreston4 – 0
  2. WWinAWest Brom1 – 0
  3. DDrawHMiddlesbrou…2 – 2
  4. WWinADerby2 – 1
  5. LDefeatANorwich1 – 2
QPR
1W · 4D · 0L
WDDDD
7/15
Points taken
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHDerby4 – 1
  2. DDrawAWest Ham1 – 1
  3. DDrawHPreston2 – 2
  4. DDrawAWest Brom1 – 1
  5. DDrawACharlton0 – 0

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Championship

1
Birmingham wins
0
Draws
1
QPR wins
2.0
Goals per match
50 %
Over 2.5
  1. Mar 11, 26Championship
    Birmingham1 – 0QPR
  2. Dec 9, 25Championship
    QPR2 – 1Birmingham

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