Bundesliga · Matchday Regular Season - 1Played

Bayern Munich – Stuttgart prediction

Bayern Munich5 – 1Stuttgart

Kick-off August 28, 2026 at 8:30 PMAt Allianz Arena

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
81%
Fair price
1.23
Expected goals
2.77 – 1.47

Recorded on August 27, 2026 at 3:00 AM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Bayern Munich
3W · 2D · 0L
WDDWW
11/15
Points taken
4.00
Goals scored
1.40
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHRB Leipzig6 – 1
  2. DDrawAViking3 – 3
  3. DDrawAAugsburg2 – 2
  4. WWinHUnion Berlin7 – 0
  5. WWinAElversberg2 – 1
Stuttgart
2W · 0D · 3L
LWWLL
6/15
Points taken
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatAHamburg0 – 1
  2. WWinASl. Bratislava3 – 0
  3. WWinAPaderborn2 – 0
  4. LDefeatHDortmund0 – 1
  5. LDefeatAHoffenheim1 – 2

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Bundesliga

5
Bayern Muni… wins
0
Draws
0
Stuttgart wins
5.0
Goals per match
100 %
Over 2.5
  1. Aug 28, 26Bundesliga
    Bayern Muni…5 – 1Stuttgart
  2. Apr 19, 26Bundesliga
    Bayern Muni…4 – 2Stuttgart
  3. Dec 6, 25Bundesliga
    Stuttgart0 – 5Bayern Muni…
  4. Feb 28, 25Bundesliga
    Stuttgart1 – 3Bayern Muni…
  5. Oct 19, 24Bundesliga
    Bayern Muni…4 – 0Stuttgart

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