Scottish Championship · Matchday Regular Season - 10Played

Ayr – Dunfermline prediction

Ayr1 – 1Dunfermline

Kick-off October 10, 2026 at 4:00 PMAt Somerset Park

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
82%
Fair price
1.22
Expected goals
0.99 – 0.99

Recorded on October 8, 2026 at 4:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Ayr
2W · 1D · 2L
DWLWL
7/15
Points taken
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
Goals conceded
  1. DDrawHDunfermline1 – 1
  2. WWinALivingston2 – 1
  3. LDefeatHStenhousemu…0 – 1
  4. WWinAQueens Park2 – 0
  5. LDefeatHInverness C1 – 3
Dunfermline
3W · 2D · 0L
DWWDW
11/15
Points taken
1.20
Goals scored
0.40
Goals conceded
  1. DDrawAAyr1 – 1
  2. WWinAMorton1 – 0
  3. WWinHQueens Park2 – 0
  4. DDrawAArbroath1 – 1
  5. WWinHRaith Rvs1 – 0

Head-to-head

10 meetings · Scottish Championship

5
Ayr wins
3
Draws
2
Dunfermline wins
2.2
Goals per match
30 %
Over 2.5
  1. Oct 10, 26Scottish Championship
    Ayr1 – 1Dunfermline
  2. Aug 8, 26Scottish Championship
    Dunfermline1 – 1Ayr
  3. Apr 7, 26Scottish Championship
    Ayr0 – 3Dunfermline
  4. Dec 20, 25Scottish Championship
    Dunfermline2 – 3Ayr
  5. Oct 31, 25Scottish Championship
    Ayr0 – 1Dunfermline
  6. Sep 23, 25Scottish Championship
    Dunfermline0 – 1Ayr
  7. Mar 29, 25Scottish Championship
    Ayr3 – 0Dunfermline
  8. Jan 14, 25Scottish Championship
    Dunfermline0 – 2Ayr
  9. Nov 23, 24Scottish Championship
    Ayr1 – 0Dunfermline
  10. Aug 31, 24Scottish Championship
    Dunfermline1 – 1Ayr

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