Bundesliga · Matchday Regular Season - 5Played

Augsburg – Bayern Munich prediction

Augsburg2 – 2Bayern Munich

Kick-off October 10, 2026 at 3:30 PMAt WWK Arena

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
76%
Fair price
1.31
Expected goals
1.18 – 2.60

Recorded on October 8, 2026 at 4:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Augsburg
1W · 2D · 2L
LDLDW
5/15
Points taken
2.60
Goals scored
2.40
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatAElversberg3 – 4
  2. DDrawHBayern Muni…2 – 2
  3. LDefeatAWerder Brem…2 – 3
  4. DDrawHLeverkusen2 – 2
  5. WWinAEin Frankfu…4 – 1
Bayern Munich
3W · 2D · 0L
WDDWW
11/15
Points taken
4.00
Goals scored
1.40
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHRB Leipzig6 – 1
  2. DDrawAViking3 – 3
  3. DDrawAAugsburg2 – 2
  4. WWinHUnion Berlin7 – 0
  5. WWinAElversberg2 – 1

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Bundesliga

1
Augsburg wins
1
Draws
3
Bayern Muni… wins
3.8
Goals per match
100 %
Over 2.5
  1. Oct 10, 26Bundesliga
    Augsburg2 – 2Bayern Muni…
  2. Jan 24, 26Bundesliga
    Bayern Muni…1 – 2Augsburg
  3. Aug 30, 25Bundesliga
    Augsburg2 – 3Bayern Muni…
  4. Apr 4, 25Bundesliga
    Augsburg1 – 3Bayern Muni…
  5. Nov 22, 24Bundesliga
    Bayern Muni…3 – 0Augsburg

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