LaLiga · Matchday Regular Season - 5Played

Ath Bilbao – Elche prediction

Ath Bilbao1 – 1Elche

Kick-off September 12, 2026 at 6:30 PMAt San Mamés

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
82%
Fair price
1.23
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.18

Recorded on September 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Ath Bilbao
2W · 3D · 0L
DDDWW
9/15
Points taken
1.20
Goals scored
0.20
Goals conceded
  1. DDrawAValencia0 – 0
  2. DDrawHAlaves0 – 0
  3. DDrawHElche1 – 1
  4. WWinHAth Madrid3 – 0
  5. WWinACelta2 – 0
Elche
1W · 3D · 1L
DDWLD
6/15
Points taken
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
Goals conceded
  1. DDrawAVillarreal0 – 0
  2. DDrawHCelta0 – 0
  3. WWinAEspanol3 – 1
  4. LDefeatHReal Madrid2 – 3
  5. DDrawAAth Bilbao1 – 1

Head-to-head

3 meetings · LaLiga

1
Ath Bilbao wins
2
Draws
0
Elche wins
1.7
Goals per match
33 %
Over 2.5
  1. Sep 12, 26LaLiga
    Ath Bilbao1 – 1Elche
  2. Feb 20, 26LaLiga
    Ath Bilbao2 – 1Elche
  3. Oct 19, 25LaLiga
    Elche0 – 0Ath Bilbao

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