Scottish League One · Matchday Regular Season - 11

Airdrie Utd – Hamilton prediction

Airdrie Utd–Hamilton

Kick-off October 17, 2026 at 6:30 PMAt Albert Bartlett Stadium

The model's call

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Everything it was built from is below, in full: the probability the model gives, what that probability is worth as a price, and the expected goals on each side. Only the market it committed to is withheld, because it is the one part still worth anything before kick-off.

Probability
81%
Fair price
1.23
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.28

Recorded on October 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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The full analysis of this match

The match scenario, both teams’ form and their head-to-head, as the model reads them: the Airdrie Utd – Hamilton analysis opens in one click.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Airdrie Utd
3W · 1D · 1L
DWWWL
10/15
Points taken
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
Goals conceded
  1. DDrawAEast Kilbri…2 – 2
  2. WWinHMontrose1 – 0
  3. WWinAPeterhead2 – 1
  4. WWinHAlloa1 – 0
  5. LDefeatAQueen of Sth1 – 2
Hamilton
5W · 0D · 0L
WWWWW
15/15
Points taken
2.20
Goals scored
0.40
Goals conceded
  1. WWinAAlloa3 – 0
  2. WWinHPeterhead2 – 1
  3. WWinHQueen of Sth4 – 1
  4. WWinAEast Kilbri…1 – 0
  5. WWinHCove Rangers1 – 0

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Scottish League One

1
Airdrie Utd wins
1
Draws
3
Hamilton wins
4.0
Goals per match
100 %
Over 2.5
  1. Aug 15, 26Scottish League One
    Hamilton4 – 0Airdrie Utd
  2. Mar 8, 25Scottish Championship
    Airdrie Utd2 – 1Hamilton
  3. Dec 28, 24Scottish Championship
    Hamilton3 – 2Airdrie Utd
  4. Nov 2, 24Scottish Championship
    Airdrie Utd0 – 4Hamilton
  5. Aug 31, 24Scottish Championship
    Hamilton2 – 2Airdrie Utd

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