Championship · Matchday Regular Season - 5Played

West Brom – Watford prediction

West Brom1 – 0Watford

Kick-off September 5, 2026 at 4:00 PMAt The Hawthorns

The model's call

The call is for subscribers

The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
76%
Fair price
1.31
Expected goals
1.40 – 0.87

Recorded on September 3, 2026 at 4:01 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

West Brom
2W · 1D · 2L
WLLDW
7/15
Points taken
0.80
Goals scored
0.80
Goals conceded
  1. WWinAWrexham2 – 1
  2. LDefeatHBirmingham0 – 1
  3. LDefeatAWolves0 – 1
  4. DDrawHQPR1 – 1
  5. WWinADerby1 – 0
Watford
1W · 0D · 4L
WLLLL
3/15
Points taken
0.80
Goals scored
2.40
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHCharlton2 – 0
  2. LDefeatACardiff1 – 5
  3. LDefeatHBurnley0 – 4
  4. LDefeatABristol City0 – 1
  5. LDefeatHStoke1 – 2

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Championship

3
West Brom wins
0
Draws
2
Watford wins
2.6
Goals per match
80 %
Over 2.5
  1. Sep 5, 26Championship
    West Brom1 – 0Watford
  2. Apr 21, 26Championship
    West Brom3 – 0Watford
  3. Oct 22, 25Championship
    Watford2 – 1West Brom
  4. Apr 12, 25Championship
    West Brom2 – 1Watford
  5. Dec 15, 24Championship
    Watford2 – 1West Brom

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