Premier League · Matchday Regular Season - 5Played

Tottenham – Aston Villa prediction

Tottenham2 – 3Aston Villa

Kick-off September 19, 2026 at 1:30 PMAt Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

The model's call

The call is for subscribers

The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
82%
Fair price
1.22
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.59

Recorded on September 17, 2026 at 2:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Tottenham
0W · 3D · 2L
DLDDL
3/15
Points taken
0.60
Goals scored
1.20
Goals conceded
  1. DDrawAMan United1 – 1
  2. LDefeatHAston Villa2 – 3
  3. DDrawHEverton0 – 0
  4. DDrawANott'm Fore…0 – 0
  5. LDefeatHNewcastle0 – 2
Aston Villa
3W · 1D · 1L
WWDWL
10/15
Points taken
2.60
Goals scored
1.20
Goals conceded
  1. WWinANewcastle1 – 0
  2. WWinHFenerbahce6 – 0
  3. DDrawHBrentford2 – 2
  4. WWinATottenham3 – 2
  5. LDefeatHNott'm Fore…1 – 2

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Premier League

2
Tottenham wins
0
Draws
3
Aston Villa wins
3.6
Goals per match
80 %
Over 2.5
  1. Sep 19, 26Premier League
    Tottenham2 – 3Aston Villa
  2. May 3, 26Premier League
    Aston Villa1 – 2Tottenham
  3. Oct 19, 25Premier League
    Tottenham1 – 2Aston Villa
  4. May 16, 25Premier League
    Aston Villa2 – 0Tottenham
  5. Nov 3, 24Premier League
    Tottenham4 – 1Aston Villa

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