Championship · Matchday Regular Season - 7Played

Swansea – Burnley prediction

Swansea3 – 1Burnley

Kick-off September 12, 2026 at 4:00 PMAt Swansea.com Stadium

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
78%
Fair price
1.28
Expected goals
1.57 – 0.84

Recorded on September 10, 2026 at 4:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Swansea
4W · 0D · 1L
WWWWL
12/15
Points taken
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
Goals conceded
  1. WWinAMillwall1 – 0
  2. WWinHNorwich2 – 1
  3. WWinALincoln2 – 1
  4. WWinHBurnley3 – 1
  5. LDefeatASouthampton1 – 3
Burnley
1W · 2D · 2L
LDWDL
5/15
Points taken
1.80
Goals scored
1.60
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHWolves1 – 2
  2. DDrawHCharlton2 – 2
  3. WWinAWatford4 – 0
  4. DDrawHDerby1 – 1
  5. LDefeatASwansea1 – 3

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Championship

1
Swansea wins
0
Draws
2
Burnley wins
2.3
Goals per match
33 %
Over 2.5
  1. Sep 12, 26Championship
    Swansea3 – 1Burnley
  2. Mar 15, 25Championship
    Swansea0 – 2Burnley
  3. Nov 10, 24Championship
    Burnley1 – 0Swansea

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