Austrian Bundesliga · Matchday Regular Season - 9

Sturm Graz – Grazer AK prediction

Sturm Graz–Grazer AK

Kick-off October 18, 2026 at 5:00 PMAt Stadion Graz-Liebenau

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Everything it was built from is below, in full: the probability the model gives, what that probability is worth as a price, and the expected goals on each side. Only the market it committed to is withheld, because it is the one part still worth anything before kick-off.

Probability
82%
Fair price
1.22
Expected goals
1.68 – 0.90

Recorded on October 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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The full analysis of this match

The match scenario, both teams’ form and their head-to-head, as the model reads them: the Sturm Graz – Grazer AK analysis opens in one click.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Sturm Graz
2W · 1D · 2L
WLWLD
7/15
Points taken
1.20
Goals scored
1.60
Goals conceded
  1. WWinAAustria Vie…2 – 0
  2. LDefeatASalzburg0 – 3
  3. WWinHLASK2 – 1
  4. LDefeatASK Rapid1 – 3
  5. DDrawHA. Lustenau1 – 1
Grazer AK
1W · 3D · 1L
DDWDL
6/15
Points taken
0.80
Goals scored
0.80
Goals conceded
  1. DDrawHSalzburg0 – 0
  2. DDrawHAustria Vie…2 – 2
  3. WWinAAltach2 – 1
  4. DDrawHWolfsberger…0 – 0
  5. LDefeatARied0 – 1

Head-to-head

4 meetings · Bundesliga autrichienne

4
Sturm Graz wins
0
Draws
0
Grazer AK wins
4.0
Goals per match
100 %
Over 2.5
  1. Dec 7, 25Bundesliga autrichienne
    Sturm Graz2 – 1Grazer AK
  2. Aug 30, 25Bundesliga autrichienne
    Grazer AK0 – 3Sturm Graz
  3. Mar 9, 25Bundesliga autrichienne
    Grazer AK1 – 2Sturm Graz
  4. Oct 19, 24Bundesliga autrichienne
    Sturm Graz5 – 2Grazer AK

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