Scottish League Two · Matchday Regular Season - 9Played

Stranraer – Edinburgh City prediction

Kick-off October 3, 2026 at 4:00 PMAt Stair Park

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
80%
Fair price
1.25
Expected goals
2.41 – 1.24

Recorded on October 1, 2026 at 4:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Stranraer
4W · 1D · 0L
WDWWW
13/15
Points taken
3.40
Goals scored
0.60
Goals conceded
  1. WWinAAnnan Athle…6 – 1
  2. DDrawHEdinburgh C…0 – 0
  3. WWinAElgin5 – 1
  4. WWinHDumbarton3 – 1
  5. WWinAForfar3 – 0
Edinburgh City
2W · 1D · 2L
LDWWL
7/15
Points taken
2.60
Goals scored
2.00
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHSpartans1 – 3
  2. DDrawAStranraer0 – 0
  3. WWinAKelty Hearts3 – 1
  4. WWinHStirling7 – 3
  5. LDefeatAClyde2 – 3

Head-to-head

9 meetings · Scottish League Two

4
Stranraer wins
3
Draws
2
Edinburgh C… wins
2.2
Goals per match
44 %
Over 2.5
  1. Oct 3, 26Scottish League Two
    Stranraer0 – 0Edinburgh C…
  2. Mar 7, 26Scottish League Two
    Edinburgh C…4 – 1Stranraer
  3. Jan 3, 26Scottish League Two
    Stranraer1 – 1Edinburgh C…
  4. Oct 18, 25Scottish League Two
    Edinburgh C…1 – 3Stranraer
  5. Aug 9, 25Scottish League Two
    Stranraer1 – 2Edinburgh C…
  6. Apr 19, 25Scottish League Two
    Stranraer2 – 0Edinburgh C…
  7. Mar 1, 25Scottish League Two
    Edinburgh C…0 – 1Stranraer
  8. Dec 14, 24Scottish League Two
    Stranraer0 – 0Edinburgh C…
  9. Oct 5, 24Scottish League Two
    Edinburgh C…1 – 2Stranraer

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