Scottish Premiership · Matchday Regular Season - 4Played

St Mirren – Motherwell prediction

St Mirren3 – 3Motherwell

Kick-off August 30, 2026 at 4:00 PMAt The SMISA Stadium

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
76%
Fair price
1.31
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.23

Recorded on August 28, 2026 at 4:03 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

St Mirren
1W · 0D · 4L
LLLLW
3/15
Points taken
0.40
Goals scored
2.20
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatAHearts0 – 5
  2. LDefeatHDundee Unit…0 – 3
  3. LDefeatARangers0 – 1
  4. LDefeatHCeltic1 – 2
  5. WWinAKilmarnock1 – 0
Motherwell
1W · 0D · 4L
LLLLW
3/15
Points taken
0.80
Goals scored
1.80
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHCeltic0 – 2
  2. LDefeatADundee1 – 2
  3. LDefeatHAberdeen0 – 4
  4. LDefeatARangers0 – 1
  5. WWinHDundee Unit…3 – 0

Head-to-head

7 meetings · Scottish Premiership

0
St Mirren wins
3
Draws
4
Motherwell wins
3.0
Goals per match
57 %
Over 2.5
  1. Aug 30, 26Scottish Premiership
    St Mirren3 – 3Motherwell
  2. Feb 21, 26Scottish Premiership
    St Mirren0 – 5Motherwell
  3. Jan 3, 26Scottish Premiership
    Motherwell2 – 0St Mirren
  4. Aug 9, 25Scottish Premiership
    St Mirren0 – 0Motherwell
  5. Mar 15, 25Scottish Premiership
    Motherwell2 – 2St Mirren
  6. Dec 7, 24Scottish Premiership
    St Mirren0 – 1Motherwell
  7. Sep 28, 24Scottish Premiership
    Motherwell2 – 1St Mirren

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