Scottish Premiership · Matchday Regular Season - 7Played

St Mirren – Dundee United prediction

Kick-off September 19, 2026 at 4:00 PMAt The SMiSA Stadium

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
81%
Fair price
1.23
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.13

Recorded on September 17, 2026 at 4:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

St Mirren
1W · 0D · 4L
LLLLW
3/15
Points taken
0.40
Goals scored
2.20
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatAHearts0 – 5
  2. LDefeatHDundee Unit…0 – 3
  3. LDefeatARangers0 – 1
  4. LDefeatHCeltic1 – 2
  5. WWinAKilmarnock1 – 0
Dundee United
3W · 1D · 1L
WWDLW
10/15
Points taken
1.80
Goals scored
0.80
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHHibernian1 – 0
  2. WWinASt Mirren3 – 0
  3. DDrawHFalkirk1 – 1
  4. LDefeatAMotherwell0 – 3
  5. WWinAKilmarnock4 – 0

Head-to-head

9 meetings · Scottish Premiership

2
St Mirren wins
1
Draws
6
Dundee Unit… wins
2.2
Goals per match
33 %
Over 2.5
  1. Sep 19, 26Scottish Premiership
    St Mirren0 – 3Dundee Unit…
  2. May 17, 26Scottish Premiership
    St Mirren1 – 1Dundee Unit…
  3. Mar 3, 26Scottish Premiership
    Dundee Unit…2 – 1St Mirren
  4. Dec 6, 25Scottish Premiership
    St Mirren2 – 0Dundee Unit…
  5. Oct 25, 25Scottish Premiership
    Dundee Unit…3 – 1St Mirren
  6. May 10, 25Scottish Premiership
    Dundee Unit…0 – 2St Mirren
  7. Jan 11, 25Scottish Premiership
    St Mirren0 – 1Dundee Unit…
  8. Nov 30, 24Scottish Premiership
    Dundee Unit…2 – 0St Mirren
  9. Oct 5, 24Scottish Premiership
    St Mirren0 – 1Dundee Unit…

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