Championship · Matchday Regular Season - 7Played

Southampton – Bristol City prediction

Southampton4 – 1Bristol City

Kick-off September 12, 2026 at 4:00 PMAt St. Mary's Stadium

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
82%
Fair price
1.22
Expected goals
2.01 – 1.35

Recorded on September 10, 2026 at 4:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Southampton
3W · 1D · 1L
DWWLW
10/15
Points taken
1.40
Goals scored
0.60
Goals conceded
  1. DDrawHBolton0 – 0
  2. WWinANorwich1 – 0
  3. WWinHPortsmouth1 – 0
  4. LDefeatAWrexham1 – 2
  5. WWinHBristol City4 – 1
Bristol City
1W · 1D · 3L
LLDWL
4/15
Points taken
0.40
Goals scored
0.80
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHSheffield U…0 – 1
  2. LDefeatHBlackburn0 – 1
  3. DDrawACharlton1 – 1
  4. WWinHWatford1 – 0
  5. LDefeatHLincoln0 – 1

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Championship

1
Southampton wins
1
Draws
1
Bristol City wins
4.3
Goals per match
100 %
Over 2.5
  1. Sep 12, 26Championship
    Southampton4 – 1Bristol City
  2. Apr 21, 26Championship
    Southampton2 – 2Bristol City
  3. Oct 21, 25Championship
    Bristol City3 – 1Southampton

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