Premier Division · Matchday Regular Season - 32Played

Shamrock Rovers – Waterford prediction

Shamrock Rovers3 – 2Waterford

Kick-off September 18, 2026 at 9:00 PMAt Tallaght Stadium

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
82%
Fair price
1.22
Expected goals
1.43 – 0.83

Recorded on September 17, 2026 at 7:00 AM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Shamrock Rovers
3W · 1D · 1L
WWWLD
10/15
Points taken
1.60
Goals scored
1.20
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHBohemians2 – 1
  2. WWinHDrogheda3 – 1
  3. WWinHWaterford3 – 2
  4. LDefeatASt. Patricks0 – 2
  5. DDrawHShelbourne0 – 0
Waterford
1W · 3D · 1L
LDDWD
6/15
Points taken
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatAShamrock Ro…2 – 3
  2. DDrawHDerry City2 – 2
  3. DDrawHDundalk1 – 1
  4. WWinASt. Patricks2 – 0
  5. DDrawASligo Rovers0 – 0

Head-to-head

10 meetings · Premier Division irlandaise

9
Shamrock Ro… wins
1
Draws
0
Waterford wins
2.6
Goals per match
50 %
Over 2.5
  1. Sep 18, 26Premier Division irlandaise
    Shamrock Ro…3 – 2Waterford
  2. Jun 19, 26Premier Division irlandaise
    Waterford0 – 2Shamrock Ro…
  3. May 1, 26Premier Division irlandaise
    Shamrock Ro…1 – 0Waterford
  4. Apr 3, 26Premier Division irlandaise
    Waterford1 – 1Shamrock Ro…
  5. Sep 22, 25Premier Division irlandaise
    Waterford1 – 2Shamrock Ro…
  6. Jun 27, 25Premier Division irlandaise
    Shamrock Ro…1 – 0Waterford
  7. May 16, 25Premier Division irlandaise
    Waterford1 – 3Shamrock Ro…
  8. Apr 11, 25Premier Division irlandaise
    Shamrock Ro…2 – 0Waterford
  9. Nov 1, 24Premier Division irlandaise
    Shamrock Ro…2 – 1Waterford
  10. Aug 2, 24Premier Division irlandaise
    Waterford1 – 2Shamrock Ro…

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