Süper Lig · Matchday Regular Season - 3Played

Samsunspor – Fenerbahce prediction

Samsunspor0 – 2Fenerbahce

Kick-off August 30, 2026 at 8:30 PMAt Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
81%
Fair price
1.24
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.85

Recorded on August 28, 2026 at 9:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Samsunspor
0W · 0D · 5L
LLLLL
0/15
Points taken
0.20
Goals scored
2.40
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHTrabzonspor0 – 3
  2. LDefeatAErzurumspor0 – 1
  3. LDefeatHCorum1 – 5
  4. LDefeatAKocaelispor0 – 1
  5. LDefeatHFenerbahce0 – 2
Fenerbahce
2W · 1D · 2L
LWWDL
7/15
Points taken
2.40
Goals scored
1.60
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatAAston Villa0 – 6
  2. WWinARizespor3 – 0
  3. WWinHEyupspor8 – 0
  4. DDrawAGaziantep0 – 0
  5. LDefeatHBesiktas1 – 2

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Süper Lig

0
Samsunspor wins
3
Draws
2
Fenerbahce wins
2.2
Goals per match
40 %
Over 2.5
  1. Aug 30, 26Süper Lig
    Samsunspor0 – 2Fenerbahce
  2. Mar 8, 26Süper Lig
    Fenerbahce3 – 2Samsunspor
  3. Oct 5, 25Süper Lig
    Samsunspor0 – 0Fenerbahce
  4. Mar 16, 25Süper Lig
    Fenerbahce0 – 0Samsunspor
  5. Oct 20, 24Süper Lig
    Samsunspor2 – 2Fenerbahce

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