LaLiga · Matchday Journée 9Played

Real Madrid – Sevilla prediction

Real Madrid4 – 1Sevilla

Kick-off October 18, 2026 at 9:00 PM

The model's call

The call is for subscribers

The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
80%
Fair price
1.24
Expected goals
2.05 – 0.95

Recorded on October 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

See how this call ended
Subscribe to get the calls before the matchSee the plansAlready subscribed? Open it in the app

What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Real Madrid
4W · 0D · 1L
WWWLW
12/15
Points taken
2.60
Goals scored
1.60
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHSevilla4 – 1
  2. WWinARoma4 – 3
  3. WWinHVillarreal1 – 0
  4. LDefeatAAth Madrid1 – 2
  5. WWinAElche3 – 2
Sevilla
2W · 1D · 2L
LDLWW
7/15
Points taken
1.40
Goals scored
2.00
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatAReal Madrid1 – 4
  2. DDrawALevante3 – 3
  3. LDefeatHBarcelona1 – 3
  4. WWinALa Coruna1 – 0
  5. WWinHValencia1 – 0

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Primera Division

5
Real Madrid wins
0
Draws
0
Sevilla wins
3.2
Goals per match
40 %
Over 2.5
  1. Oct 18, 26Primera Division
    Real Madrid4 – 1Sevilla
  2. May 17, 26LaLiga
    Sevilla0 – 1Real Madrid
  3. Dec 20, 25LaLiga
    Real Madrid2 – 0Sevilla
  4. May 18, 25LaLiga
    Sevilla0 – 2Real Madrid
  5. Dec 22, 24LaLiga
    Real Madrid4 – 2Sevilla

Send this match to someone

The link opens this exact page: both teams’ form, their head-to-head record, and the model’s call once it is frozen.

How this model is kept, and checkable

1,711 calls have been settled so far. Every one of them was recorded before its kick-off and its verdict written after the whistle, wins and losses alike — nothing is taken down afterwards. The full record, match by match, is public.

See the full record

Next up in LaLiga

See every upcoming match

This match already has a call waiting

An account is enough to see the days ahead; a subscription opens the call itself, on this match and on every other one.

Create an accountSee the plans