National League · Matchday Regular Season - 11Played

Eastleigh – Southend prediction

Eastleigh1 – 1Southend

Kick-off September 30, 2026 at 8:45 PMAt Silverlake Stadium

The model's call

The call is for subscribers

The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
79%
Fair price
1.26
Expected goals
1.40 – 2.00

Recorded on September 28, 2026 at 9:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

See how this call ended
Subscribe to get the calls before the matchSee the plansAlready subscribed? Open it in the app

What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Eastleigh
1W · 1D · 3L
LLDLW
4/15
Points taken
0.80
Goals scored
2.00
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatAHornchurch0 – 2
  2. LDefeatHWoking1 – 3
  3. DDrawHSouthend1 – 1
  4. LDefeatAHarrogate1 – 4
  5. WWinHCarlisle1 – 0
Southend
3W · 1D · 1L
WWDLW
10/15
Points taken
2.80
Goals scored
1.60
Goals conceded
  1. WWinABoston Utd2 – 1
  2. WWinHFylde3 – 1
  3. DDrawAEastleigh1 – 1
  4. LDefeatHBarrow2 – 4
  5. WWinAGateshead6 – 1

Head-to-head

5 meetings · National League

1
Eastleigh wins
1
Draws
3
Southend wins
3.0
Goals per match
60 %
Over 2.5
  1. Sep 30, 26National League
    Eastleigh1 – 1Southend
  2. Jan 20, 26National League
    Southend4 – 1Eastleigh
  3. Sep 24, 25National League
    Eastleigh2 – 1Southend
  4. Mar 22, 25National League
    Eastleigh1 – 2Southend
  5. Sep 10, 24National League
    Southend2 – 0Eastleigh

Send this match to someone

The link opens this exact page: both teams’ form, their head-to-head record, and the model’s call once it is frozen.

How this model is kept, and checkable

1,711 calls have been settled so far. Every one of them was recorded before its kick-off and its verdict written after the whistle, wins and losses alike — nothing is taken down afterwards. The full record, match by match, is public.

See the full record

Next up in National League

See every upcoming match

This match already has a call waiting

An account is enough to see the days ahead; a subscription opens the call itself, on this match and on every other one.

Create an accountSee the plans