Scottish League One · Matchday Regular Season - 11

East Fife – Alloa prediction

East Fife–Alloa

Kick-off October 17, 2026 at 4:00 PMAt MGM Timber Bayview Stadium

The model's call

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Everything it was built from is below, in full: the probability the model gives, what that probability is worth as a price, and the expected goals on each side. Only the market it committed to is withheld, because it is the one part still worth anything before kick-off.

Probability
79%
Fair price
1.26
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.20

Recorded on October 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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The full analysis of this match

The match scenario, both teams’ form and their head-to-head, as the model reads them: the East Fife – Alloa analysis opens in one click.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

East Fife
0W · 3D · 2L
DLLDD
3/15
Points taken
1.00
Goals scored
1.80
Goals conceded
  1. DDrawACove Rangers1 – 1
  2. LDefeatHEast Kilbri…0 – 3
  3. LDefeatHMontrose1 – 2
  4. DDrawAQueen of Sth1 – 1
  5. DDrawHRoss County2 – 2
Alloa
0W · 1D · 4L
LLLLD
1/15
Points taken
0.60
Goals scored
2.20
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHHamilton0 – 3
  2. LDefeatARoss County1 – 4
  3. LDefeatHEast Kilbri…1 – 2
  4. LDefeatAAirdrie Utd0 – 1
  5. DDrawACove Rangers1 – 1

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Scottish League One

0
East Fife wins
2
Draws
3
Alloa wins
1.4
Goals per match
0 %
Over 2.5
  1. Aug 1, 26Scottish League One
    Alloa0 – 0East Fife
  2. Apr 18, 26Scottish League One
    Alloa2 – 0East Fife
  3. Feb 28, 26Scottish League One
    East Fife0 – 2Alloa
  4. Oct 18, 25Scottish League One
    Alloa1 – 1East Fife
  5. Aug 9, 25Scottish League One
    East Fife0 – 1Alloa

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