Scottish Championship · Matchday Regular Season - 11

Dunfermline – Livingston prediction

Dunfermline–Livingston

Kick-off October 17, 2026 at 4:00 PMAt East End Park

The model's call

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Everything it was built from is below, in full: the probability the model gives, what that probability is worth as a price, and the expected goals on each side. Only the market it committed to is withheld, because it is the one part still worth anything before kick-off.

Probability
80%
Fair price
1.26
Expected goals
1.51 – 0.76

Recorded on October 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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The full analysis of this match

The match scenario, both teams’ form and their head-to-head, as the model reads them: the Dunfermline – Livingston analysis opens in one click.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Dunfermline
3W · 2D · 0L
DWWDW
11/15
Points taken
1.20
Goals scored
0.40
Goals conceded
  1. DDrawAAyr1 – 1
  2. WWinAMorton1 – 0
  3. WWinHQueens Park2 – 0
  4. DDrawAArbroath1 – 1
  5. WWinHRaith Rvs1 – 0
Livingston
2W · 1D · 2L
LLWDW
7/15
Points taken
2.00
Goals scored
1.40
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHPartick1 – 2
  2. LDefeatHAyr1 – 2
  3. WWinARaith Rvs2 – 0
  4. DDrawHInverness C2 – 2
  5. WWinAMorton4 – 1

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Scottish Championship

2
Dunfermline wins
1
Draws
2
Livingston wins
1.6
Goals per match
20 %
Over 2.5
  1. Aug 22, 26Scottish Championship
    Livingston2 – 0Dunfermline
  2. Apr 2, 25Scottish Championship
    Dunfermline1 – 0Livingston
  3. Feb 15, 25Scottish Championship
    Livingston0 – 0Dunfermline
  4. Oct 29, 24Scottish Championship
    Dunfermline3 – 0Livingston
  5. Aug 3, 24Scottish Championship
    Livingston2 – 0Dunfermline

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