Austrian Bundesliga · Matchday Regular Season - 8Played

Austria Vienna – Sturm Graz prediction

Austria Vienna0 – 2Sturm Graz

Kick-off October 10, 2026 at 7:30 PMAt Generali Arena

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
81%
Fair price
1.23
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.23

Recorded on October 8, 2026 at 8:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Austria Vienna
1W · 1D · 3L
LDWLL
4/15
Points taken
1.00
Goals scored
2.00
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHSturm Graz0 – 2
  2. DDrawAGrazer AK2 – 2
  3. WWinHA. Lustenau2 – 1
  4. LDefeatHTirol0 – 1
  5. LDefeatASalzburg1 – 4
Sturm Graz
2W · 1D · 2L
WLWLD
7/15
Points taken
1.20
Goals scored
1.60
Goals conceded
  1. WWinAAustria Vie…2 – 0
  2. LDefeatASalzburg0 – 3
  3. WWinHLASK2 – 1
  4. LDefeatASK Rapid1 – 3
  5. DDrawHA. Lustenau1 – 1

Head-to-head

9 meetings · Bundesliga autrichienne

4
Austria Vie… wins
3
Draws
2
Sturm Graz wins
3.1
Goals per match
56 %
Over 2.5
  1. Oct 10, 26Bundesliga autrichienne
    Austria Vie…0 – 2Sturm Graz
  2. Apr 26, 26Bundesliga autrichienne
    Sturm Graz1 – 1Austria Vie…
  3. Mar 15, 26Bundesliga autrichienne
    Austria Vie…2 – 5Sturm Graz
  4. Dec 14, 25Bundesliga autrichienne
    Austria Vie…3 – 1Sturm Graz
  5. Sep 14, 25Bundesliga autrichienne
    Sturm Graz0 – 1Austria Vie…
  6. Apr 27, 25Bundesliga autrichienne
    Sturm Graz0 – 1Austria Vie…
  7. Apr 23, 25Bundesliga autrichienne
    Austria Vie…2 – 1Sturm Graz
  8. Feb 7, 25Bundesliga autrichienne
    Sturm Graz2 – 2Austria Vie…
  9. Sep 25, 24Bundesliga autrichienne
    Austria Vie…2 – 2Sturm Graz

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