LaLiga · Matchday Regular Season - 6Played

Ath Madrid – Osasuna prediction

Kick-off September 16, 2026 at 7:00 PMAt Riyadh Air Metropolitano

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
78%
Fair price
1.29
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.02

Recorded on September 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Ath Madrid
5W · 0D · 0L
WWWWW
15/15
Points taken
2.20
Goals scored
0.40
Goals conceded
  1. WWinAEspanol1 – 0
  2. WWinHMan United2 – 0
  3. WWinAAlaves2 – 1
  4. WWinHReal Madrid2 – 1
  5. WWinHOsasuna4 – 0
Osasuna
1W · 1D · 3L
WLDLL
4/15
Points taken
1.00
Goals scored
2.40
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHSantander2 – 0
  2. LDefeatABetis2 – 5
  3. DDrawHVallecano1 – 1
  4. LDefeatAAth Madrid0 – 4
  5. LDefeatHEspanol0 – 2

Head-to-head

5 meetings · LaLiga

4
Ath Madrid wins
0
Draws
1
Osasuna wins
2.2
Goals per match
40 %
Over 2.5
  1. Sep 16, 26LaLiga
    Ath Madrid4 – 0Osasuna
  2. May 12, 26LaLiga
    Osasuna1 – 2Ath Madrid
  3. Oct 18, 25LaLiga
    Ath Madrid1 – 0Osasuna
  4. May 15, 25LaLiga
    Osasuna2 – 0Ath Madrid
  5. Jan 12, 25LaLiga
    Ath Madrid1 – 0Osasuna

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