FA Cup · Matchday 4th Round Qualifying

Wealdstone – Worthing prediction

Kick-off October 17, 2026 at 4:00 PM

The model's call

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Everything it was built from is below, in full: the probability the model gives, what that probability is worth as a price, and the expected goals on each side. Only the market it committed to is withheld, because it is the one part still worth anything before kick-off.

Probability
81%
Fair price
1.23
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.91

Recorded on October 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

The full analysis of this match

The match scenario, both teams’ form and their head-to-head, as the model reads them: the Wealdstone – Worthing analysis opens in one click.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Wealdstone
1W · 1D · 3L
LLDWL
4/15
Points taken
1.40
Goals scored
2.20
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHYeovil0 – 6
  2. LDefeatABarrow1 – 2
  3. DDrawAForest Green1 – 1
  4. WWinHGateshead4 – 0
  5. LDefeatATamworth1 – 2
Worthing
4W · 1D · 0L
WWDWW
13/15
Points taken
2.60
Goals scored
0.80
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHSolihull5 – 0
  2. WWinAGateshead2 – 1
  3. DDrawAYeovil1 – 1
  4. WWinHHalifax2 – 1
  5. WWinAHartlepool3 – 1

Head-to-head

1 meeting · National League

0
Wealdstone wins
0
Draws
1
Worthing wins
1.0
Goals per match
0 %
Over 2.5
  1. Aug 22, 26National League
    Worthing1 – 0Wealdstone

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