Jupiler Pro League · Matchday Regular Season - 6Played

Waregem – Charleroi prediction

Waregem0 – 1Charleroi

Kick-off September 13, 2026 at 6:30 PMAt Elindus Arena

The model's call

The call is for subscribers

The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
81%
Fair price
1.24
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.24

Recorded on September 11, 2026 at 7:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Waregem
1W · 1D · 3L
LLLWD
4/15
Points taken
0.80
Goals scored
1.60
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHGent0 – 2
  2. LDefeatAAnderlecht0 – 3
  3. LDefeatHCharleroi0 – 1
  4. WWinAKortrijk2 – 0
  5. DDrawAWesterlo2 – 2
Charleroi
4W · 0D · 1L
WWWLW
12/15
Points taken
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
Goals conceded
  1. WWinAStandard1 – 0
  2. WWinHCercle Brug…3 – 2
  3. WWinAWaregem1 – 0
  4. LDefeatHSt. Gilloise2 – 3
  5. WWinAKortrijk3 – 1

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Jupiler Pro League

2
Waregem wins
0
Draws
1
Charleroi wins
1.7
Goals per match
33 %
Over 2.5
  1. Sep 13, 26Jupiler Pro League
    Waregem0 – 1Charleroi
  2. Mar 22, 26Jupiler Pro League
    Waregem1 – 0Charleroi
  3. Sep 20, 25Jupiler Pro League
    Charleroi1 – 2Waregem

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